sotomayor for the supreme court could be the difference if these numbers hold up. still only 20% of the vote in. we need to stay on top of that. this could be a stunner. people have been saying when will the new york republican party get its act together? rick lazio was supposed to be the candidate who would have a decent chance in the fall running for governor, developer carl paladino, a tea party candidate in this race, look at these numbers. it's still early in new york, but let's look at the numbers. 66% for carl paladino. 34% for rick lazio. mr. paladino saying he's establishment, you don't like it, he also has campaigned on the theme that if he is the next governor of new york, he would seize by eminent domain the site of that proposed cultural center near ground zero. this could be another stunning viory for the tea party tonight. two other races we're watching, one is here in the district of columbia, the mayoral race, adrian fenty versus vincent gray, many african-americans in the city say he's forgotten his base. this one could send a national message on